As I have previously (and some would say frequently) said I believe that Donald Trump will announce that he is running for President in 2024 and Joe Biden will announce that he is not running. In my opinion it is only a question of when they will announce. In this post I will discuss who Read More
The Speech Joe Biden should deliver
Conventional wisdom suggests that President Biden needs to wait until after the mid-term elections are over to announce that he is not running for re-election for fear of being perceived as a “lame duck”. I call BS. That is absolutely wrong. We have literally never been in a situation like this. Biden’s approval rating has Read More
The Coming Midterms
You might recall that I have never been as pessimistic as many about the prospects for the upcoming midterm elections. Election Day (November 8) 2022 is now barely 15 weeks away. Back in January I wrote It may not be as bad as you fear for the Dems in the midterms – Left Coast View Read More
Why Trump will run in 2024 and Biden won’t
I heard someone say on TV that “in the end he won’t want to do the hard work of campaigning and will being defined as a loser if he doesn’t win”. Interestingly, the person was speaking about Donald Trump (projecting that in the end Trump will not run for President in 2024) but to me Read More
A DEMOCRATIC AGENDA
An Agenda For 2024 It is time for the Democrats to give voters an honest and concrete reason to vote for them, instead of just campaigning on “look how bad the Republicans are”. The implication is always that the Democrats have core beliefs but are afraid to say them out of fear they will be Read More
The Five Senate Seats Most Likely To Flip (in 2022)
The five Senate seats most likely to flip Pennsylania. Incumbent Republican Senator Pat Toomey is not running for re-election. In 2020 Biden very narrowly won the state over Trump by a margin of 1.16 percent. In 2016 Trump beat Clinton by an even smaller margin of 0.72 percent. Democrat John Fetterman has a substantial advantage Read More
The Midterms. What happens if ?
There are really only five possible outcomes of the midterm elections. The Republicans win control of the House and the Senate. Nightmare scenario. Nothing good will happen. The crazies will be in control of the budget and will threaten default (refuse to pass debt ceiling increases unless Biden agrees to cuts in social spending). The Read More
the midterms are coming
It is less than a half a year now until the critical 2022 midterm elections. Most people (especially those who are likely to read this) know that the US Senate is split exactly evenly (50-50) with VP Harris providing the tie breaking vote and the Democrats have just a tiny 13 seat majority (221-208) with Read More
Pennsylvania Senate
The Pennsylvania Senate primary is tomorrow and it both critical and fascinating. CRITICAL – because the election in November 2020 will determine a replacement for retiring Republican Senator Pat Toomey and this (Pennsylvania) is the best pick up opportunity for the Dems. With the Senate split 50-50 (and Kamala Harris breaking the tie) maintaining control Read More
My Epic Road Trip
My EPIC road trip began in Yachats, Oregon on Monday December 20, 2021 and lasted until Saturday February 26, 2022. A total of 69 days (one day shy of ten weeks). I drove down the pacific coast to Pismo Beach and then across the southwest on I-10 all the way to Pensacola, Florida. Then over Read More